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              Michael Pettis

              • Tuesday, 10 December, 2024
                Markets InsightGlobal trade
                Tariffs are a misunderstood tool

                Debate over trade strategy has become an ideological litmus test in which few are willing to acknowledge nuance

                Port of Los Angeles
              • Tuesday, 28 May, 2024
                German economy
                No, trade surpluses aren’t caused by comparative advantage

                Revisiting Ricardo

              • Monday, 29 April, 2024
                Markets InsightChinese trade
                China’s problem is excess savings, not too much capacity

                Policymakers on either side of bitter trade dispute seem to confuse two issues

                Shipping containers in Shanghai
              • Wednesday, 20 December, 2023
                Global Economy
                China’s debt isn’t the problem

                It is a symptom of the problem

              • Tuesday, 7 November, 2023
                Markets InsightChinese economy
                The global constraints to Chinese growth

                Many more years of high economic expansion are only possible if the country restructures to boost domestic consumption

                A worker operates machines at a texile factory in Nantong, in eastern China’s Jiangsu province
              • Thursday, 27 July, 2023
                Markets InsightUS economy
                Why US debt will continue to rise

                The government must eliminate downward pressure on demand by reversing policies that favour income inequality

                A pedestrian passes the Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve building in Washington
              • Wednesday, 7 June, 2023
                Global trade
                A (very short) history of global reserve currencies

                Keynes knew

              • Tuesday, 4 October, 2022
                Markets InsightChinese business & finance
                China’s difficult choices as export growth slows

                Trade surplus contraction must be balanced by a cut in the gap between domestic savings and investment

                Workers prepare a container at the port in Qingdao, China’s eastern Shandong province
              • Wednesday, 27 April, 2022
                Foreign exchange
                Will the renminbi depreciation actually boost Chinese growth?

                Probably not. Here’s why.

              • Wednesday, 20 April, 2022
                Global Economy
                China’s never-ending story

                The Chinese economy still needs demand-side support, not more supply-side support

              • Tuesday, 18 January, 2022
                Markets InsightChinese politics & policy
                China’s record trade gap a symptom of struggle to rebalance its economy

                Surpluses will continue as Beijing struggles to rein in burgeoning debt and increase domestic consumption

                Containers stacked at a port in Qingdao, China
              • Monday, 2 August, 2021
                Markets InsightChinese economy
                Why it might be good for China if foreign investors are wary

                Regulators should be more worried by too much buying of its stocks and bonds than by too little

                A Chinese flag and a renminbi note
              • Sunday, 22 November, 2020
                Chinese economy
                Xi’s aim to double China’s economy is a fantasy

                The idea that GDP can be twice as big in 2035 faces two significant obstacles: demography and politics

                Warehouse employees work in Hengyang, Hunan province. A declining working population requires that the pace of the decline in productivity drops by nearly two-thirds if China is to double GDP by 2035
              • Friday, 18 September, 2020
                News in-depthFT Alphaville
                Why China’s recovery is not what it seems

                Michael Pettis argues imbalances will continue to set China back unless retail sales once again begin to outpace industrial production.

              • Tuesday, 25 August, 2020
                FT AlphavilleChinese economy
                The problems with China’s “Dual Circulation” economic model

                When it comes to the future of the Chinese economy, Beijing has a difficult choice to make.

              • Thursday, 18 June, 2020
                Free LunchMartin Sandbu
                Savings gluts and investment droughts Premium content

                How global macroeconomic asymmetries reflect homespun economic problems

              • Wednesday, 27 May, 2020
                Robert Armstrong
                Business will be the loser in the US-China fight

                Both nations are indispensable, so companies face a two-track world

                web_Chinese US business wars
              • Sunday, 26 April, 2020
                China economic slowdown
                China’s economy can only grow with more state control not less

                Beijing’s repeated pledges to shrink the state are both empty and impossible

                Workers maintain Wuzuohe Bridge in Bijie, Guizhou province. China is massively overinvested in infrastructure
              • Monday, 13 January, 2020
                Markets InsightEquity valuation
                Fundamentals simply do not matter in China’s stock markets

                It is wrong to assume that prices reflect a genuine ‘view’ about growth prospects

                A pedestrian stands in front of an electronic ticker board and a screen displaying stock figures outside the Exchange Square complex, which houses the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, in Hong Kong, China, on Monday, Sept. 16, 2019. The Hong Kong bourse's unsolicited takeover bid for the London Stock Exchange Group Plc was greeted with a scathing rejection and the exchange suffered a further humiliation when China praised the rebuff as well. Photographer: Paul Yeung/Bloomberg
              • Sunday, 10 November, 2019
                Chinese business & finance
                Opening up to foreign capital would be a mixed blessing for China

                This would be a dangerous way of trying to fix an unstable banking system

                A pedestrian passes in front of a Baoshang Bank Co. branch in Beijing, China, on Tuesday, May 28, 2019. A Bloomberg index of Hong Kong-listed Chinese banks is set for its biggest monthly loss this year after regulators assumed control of Baoshang on Friday citing "serious" credit risks. Photographer: Giulia Marchi/Bloomberg
              • Wednesday, 11 July, 2018
                Central banks
                The 'marginal buyers' in credit are neither marginal nor buyers
                The 'marginal buyers' in credit are neither marginal nor buyers
              • Monday, 25 June, 2018
                FT AlphavilleDan McCrum
                The return of capital controls
                The return of capital controls
              • Thursday, 12 April, 2018
                FT AlphavilleGlobal trade
                Tariffs increase savings in a world already drowsy with too much savings
                Tariffs increase savings in a world already drowsy with too much savings
              • Tuesday, 6 March, 2018
                FT AlphavilleMatthew C Klein
                China’s household debt problem
              • Monday, 5 March, 2018
                FT AlphavilleDan McCrum
                Someone is wrong on the internet, accounting identity edition
                Someone is wrong on the internet, accounting identity edition
              Previous page You are on page 1 Next page

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